12Feb 2025 by Post

When Building Our Case for Intelligent Design, How Should We Think About Prior Probability?

Atheism, background information, Bayes factor, Bayesian analysis, Bayes’s theorem, biological design, biology, environmental fitness, Evolution, Evolution News, fine-tuning, ID The Future, Intelligent Design, physical constants, plausibility, Podcast, prior probability, probabilities, revealed religion, theism
Bayes’s theorem is a tool for modeling our evaluation of evidences to appropriately apportion the confidence in our conclusions to the strength of the evidence. Source
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20Aug 2024 by Post

Considering the Fine-Tuning Argument from Probabilities

Bayesian analysis, chance, design hypothesis, divine psychology, evil, fine-tuning, genetic diseases, intelligent cause, Intelligent Design, intelligent life, likelihood, natural disasters, physical constants, Physics, Earth & Space, prime principle of confirmation, probabilities, Robbin Collins, Suffering, universe
Many authors formulate the fine-tuning argument using probabilities and Bayesian analysis (e.g., Swinburne, Collins, Roberts, Barnes). Source
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14Sep 2023 by Post

Inferring the Best Explanation via Artificial Intelligence

Artificial Intelligence, Bayesian analysis, blues, boogie-woogie, ChatGPT, ChatGPT4, chess, country music, Culture & Ethics, Erik Larson, Google Bard, gun, hiccups, inference to the best explanation, musicians, Neuroscience & Mind, Noam Chomsky, piano, Stockfish, The Myth of Artificial Intelligence
The analogy with chess is apt — computers play chess but in ways different from us by being able to brute force their way through millions more positions. Source
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