12Feb 2025 by Post

When Building Our Case for Intelligent Design, How Should We Think About Prior Probability?

Atheism, background information, Bayes factor, Bayesian analysis, Bayes’s theorem, biological design, biology, environmental fitness, Evolution, Evolution News, fine-tuning, ID The Future, Intelligent Design, physical constants, plausibility, Podcast, prior probability, probabilities, revealed religion, theism
Bayes’s theorem is a tool for modeling our evaluation of evidences to appropriately apportion the confidence in our conclusions to the strength of the evidence. Source
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20Aug 2024 by Post

Considering the Fine-Tuning Argument from Probabilities

Bayesian analysis, chance, design hypothesis, divine psychology, evil, fine-tuning, genetic diseases, intelligent cause, Intelligent Design, intelligent life, likelihood, natural disasters, physical constants, Physics, Earth & Space, prime principle of confirmation, probabilities, Robbin Collins, Suffering, universe
Many authors formulate the fine-tuning argument using probabilities and Bayesian analysis (e.g., Swinburne, Collins, Roberts, Barnes). Source
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19Aug 2024 by Post

Examining the Fine-Tuning Argument by Elimination

chance, Cosmological Natural Selection, design, elimination, fine-tuning, intelligent agent, Intelligent Design, intentional design, Lee Smolin, multiverse, physical constants, physical necessity, physicists, Physics, Earth & Space, probabilities, universe, william lane craig
In his article “Has the Multiverse Replaced God?” William Lane Craig presents the fine-tuning argument using the process of elimination. Source
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16Aug 2024 by Post

Three Ways to Formulate the Fine-Tuning Argument: An Introduction

Aaron Zimmer, atheistic scientists, atoms, electromagnetism, electrons, Elie Feder, elimination, fine-tuning, fundamental particles, galaxies, gravitational force, gravity, intelligent cause, Intelligent Design, life, Luke Barnes, Mass, matter, molecules, multiverse, physics, Physics, Earth & Space, planets, probabilities, Robin Collins, stars, universe, william lane craig
At the heart of fundamental physics are the laws of nature. These laws govern the interactions between fundamental particles. Source
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29Jun 2022 by Post

Evolution With and Without Multiple Simultaneous Changes

Arthur Hunt, bacteria, BIO-Complexity, biological adaptations, chloroquine resistance, Darwinian gradualism, Darwinian processes, Darwinism, Douglas Axe, enzymes, Evolution, Evolution: A View from the 21st Century, Guide to Reading Jason Rosenhouse (series), hypercube, Intelligent Design, James Shapiro, Jason Rosenhouse, Kenneth Miller, Leo Kadanoff, Michael Behe, Nature (journal), Origin of Species, Plasmodium, Plasmodium falciparum, probabilities, The Edge of Evolution, The Failures of Mathematical Anti-Evolutionism, The Third Way, University of Chicago
Darwinism is committed to evolution happening gradually, one step at a time, by single mutational changes. Source
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07Apr 2020 by Post

Balancing Lives, Economics, and Public Policy in This Plague

borders, calculus, Congress, constitutional rights, coronavirus, COVID-19, Culture & Ethics, Economics, elderly, epidemiology, ethics, euthanasia, experts, governors, health, incubation period, Medicine, neurosurgeon, polis, Politics, President, Principle of Double Effect, probabilities, psychology, public policy, scientists, Senate, social distancing, sociology, Thomas Aquinas, triage, ventilators
I am a physician, and while I don’t treat coronavirus patients personally (I’m a neurosurgeon), I work in a regional coronavirus center and have first-hand knowledge of the medical impact of this pandemic. The danger the virus poses to life is substantial — in vulnerable people, it causes severe pulmonary compromise, often requiring the patient to be placed on a ventilator, and a substantial portion of these ventilated patients will die. The virus is highly contagious, and has a rather long incubation period, which helps it spread — people who have it continue to walk around and spread it for quite a while before they become sick and realize that they are contagious.  A Framework for the Wisest Decisions For a variety of reasons, the coronavirus plague is devastating to…
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